Last Friday, the A-share market and the Growth Enterprise Market index both broke through the key pressure level, and the market closed above the 3400-point integer mark and the 5-day line, getting rid of the previous box channel; Growth enterprise market refers to the key 20-day pressure level, but from the structural point of view, it is in the form of a box.Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!From these two sets of inflation data and the PMI data released in November, we can see that in recent months, although high-level officials have continuously introduced a large number of measures to stabilize the economy, the recovery speed of China's economic fundamentals is not fast. As a result, many investors will question whether we can successfully complete the economic growth target set by the top management at the beginning of the year in the fourth quarter.
Once the domestic economic recovery falls short of expectations in the fourth quarter of this year, the top management will continue to increase all kinds of economic stabilization policies to ensure the smooth operation of the domestic economy in the first quarter of next year! In fact, this point can also be found in the Xinhua News Agency article. When it comes to fiscal policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that there is still more room for borrowing in China at present; When it comes to monetary policy, the Xinhua News Agency article shows that the counter-cyclical mediation of monetary policy will continue to increase in the future!After the news about the meeting came out, although A shares have closed, according to Jun Ge's observation, the external market has begun to boil!Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party held to release two heavy signals! Name the stock market and the property market! A50 skyrocketed!
This past weekend, Xinhua News Agency issued three articles focusing on the analysis of monetary policy, fiscal policy and the future direction of real estate policy. As one of the most important official media, Xinhua News Agency published a large number of similar articles on the eve of Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party and the Central Economic Work Conference, which had to make people think more!Let's take a look at the news first. Yesterday morning, "Three major events affecting A shares over the weekend: official media released positive signals!" The CSRC will make major adjustments! In the article, Jun Ge made a detailed analysis of several major events on the weekend news. This past weekend, although there were many news events at home and abroad, it was only a mixed situation in the end, which would not have much impact on the market trend this Monday. Therefore, today's A-share market and GEM index are both flat, not significantly higher or lower.To understand this problem, we need to know the reasons for the divergence between the two indexes today, so as to judge the market trend in the later period.
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide